I’ve been hearing quite a number of arguments about Mah Bow Tan’s following statement:

Mr. Mah cited an example of how a young couple below 30 and earning a combined income of S$4,000 can pay the 5 per cent downpayment for a new four-room HDB flat with no cash after working for half a year to build up their CPF, and pay less than S$50 for their monthly mortgage payment.

He told reporters: “You would get a flat with zero deposit. Now, how many countries in the world can say that? How many housing ministers in the world can say what I have just said?”

Source: http://www.todayonline.com/SingaporeVotes/EDC110425-0000183/Housing-not-a-make-or-break-issue-at-GE–Mah-Bow-Tan

Various people are calculating here n there and concluding that this means MBT is saying that new four-room flats cost around $110,000. Their calculations mostly go like this:

Ok, MBT comes out to say a couple with $4k salary combined can pay 5% HDB new flat deposit with 6mths CPF. So,

- $4k x total CPF contribution rate 0.355 = $1420,
– of which about 64.8% goes into Ordinary Acct = $920.20
– So at the end of 6 months, there’s $920.20 x 6 = $5521
– If this is 5% of the HDB flat price, that means HDB flat costs $110,419. (Apparently, the couple doesn’t need to pay stamp duty)

Erm, tell me where in Singapore is a NEW flat so cheap? Granny flat ah? WTF is he talking about? Is my FLATematics wrong?

Source: http://www.facebook.com/notes/gurmit-singh/mbt-and-my-flatematics/10150159268621542

As someone who has been looking at HDB flats for about a year now, and very into excel spreadsheets, I would like to clarify that the above calculation is not correct.

This does not imply that I support or do not support PAP, or MBT’s claims that HDB  flats are affordable. I simply cannot stand it when calculations are wrong. Hehe OCD sorry.

There are 2 parts to MBT’s statement:

1) CPF after 6 months is sufficient for the couple not to fork out cash during the downpayment.
2) They can pay less than $50 in cash for their monthly mortgage payment.

Both of these are true. Please read on.

Part 1: Downpayment – Edited

As long as the HDB flat costs $300,000 and below, this couple will not need to fork out any cash for their downpayment.

Assumptions:

Now for the mathematics…

The downpayment required for a $300,000 HDB flat is as follows:

5% of flat price: $15,000
Stamp duty: $4,200
Legal fees: $193
Total Downpayment Required: $19,393

Their CPF available is as follows:

Additional Housing Grant (AHG): $15,000
CPF in Ordinary Account after working for 6 months: $5,560
Total CPF Available: $20,560

Part 2: Mortgage Payment

As for the “less than $50 mortgage payment per month” part, the flat needs to cost below $273,000 for this to be true. ($50 refers to cash top up, not total mortgage payment.)

So is this true?

Well, in the April 2011 BTO just launched, the Hougang four-room flats range from $248,000-$324,000. The Sembawang four-room flats cost $255,000-$310,000.

Therefore, again, yes it is possible for the couple to pay only $50 a month for their mortgage payment, for a new four-room flat.

The End.

If I made any error above, please do correct me in the comments below and I will amend accordingly. :)

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6 Responses to Mah Bow Tan’s Flat Calculations Not Wrong

  1. poorguy says:

    Hi how do you come up with the figure “below $273,000″ and can you illustrate how you can finish paying the mortgage by using $50 per month?

    $50 x 2 x 12 x 30 = ??

    • Wendy says:

      Hi there,

      A $273,000 flat, at a 2.6% interest for 30 years = $984 monthly installment.

      The $4K couple contributes $4,000 x 0.35 x 2/3 = $933 to their CPF Oridinary Account monthly.

      Therefore $984 – $933 = $51 in cash a month.

      Sorry, I think I wasn’t very clear that the $50 referred to cash in excess of CPF.

      • poorguy says:

        Hi ok so that $50 is cash. Ma is not wrong, but what’s the point of CPF initially? To buy housing? At the end of 30 / 35 years, CPF money = $0, so what to do then? And that’s assuming both do not lose their jobs at any time or have to accept lower salaries during 30 / 35 years given the swarm of ‘FT’s

        • Wendy says:

          I agree that this assumes that the couple does not lose or quit their jobs. However, salary increment wise, I believe it is likely for our salaries to increase over the years as we gain experience in our careers.

  2. nadnut says:

    Like I said earlier in my FB thread (https://www.facebook.com/xueshan#!/nadnut/posts/182888695091745), the housing (or hdb as you termed it) grant is only available for resale flats. Resale flats still require COV which means cash on hand.

    You may like to refer to these two links I pasted yesterday: http://www.hdb.gov.sg/fi10/fi10321p.nsf/w/BuyResaleFlatCPFGrantFamily?OpenDocument and http://www.hdb.gov.sg/fi10/fi10321p.nsf/w/BuyingNewFlatCPFHousingGrant?OpenDocument.

    I could be wrong, please feel free to enlighten me.

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